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Bluffing ICM bet sizing river value and more
Wild hand from a $5 mini marathon slow paced tourney on Stars.
1000 runners, down to about the last 200, bubble at 188.
750/1500, 150 ante. 9 max.
Villain is UTG+1 with 33k, Hero is in the cut off with 65k.
Table is playing fairly passive, hero has opened their range a little and is targeting the mid stacks as the bubble is close. No proper reads on the villain other than they’ve been tricky (eg check/raising or limp/4bet shove pre, but my memory isn’t great so this might be wrong). There were a number of very passive players at the table, so no real strong reason to go after the big stacks with speculative hands.
**Please feel free to comment on the questionable play, and how readable you feel my line of betting is. But what I’m really after is insight on how ICM should influence the call from the villain on the river. My bet size was precisely at what I thought left them with no call option, either a shove or a fold. If I’ve got a good chunk of bluffs in my range, are there any calling hands in the villain’s range that aren’t rendered redundant due to ICM?**
Blinds 750/1500
UTG folds
UTG+1 raises to 3150
All folds to the Hero in the cutoff, who calls with A7c
Button and blinds fold
Flop Ks5c2d
Check/check
Turn Td
UTG+1 raises 2772
Hero reraises 10494
UTG+1 calls
River 6s
UTG+1 checks
Hero raises 7500
Villain calls
Replayer link for those that want to see what the villain called with, or for the visual learners among us. https://www.pokerstarsreplayer.com/hands/a67f6c0292
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