MemberSeptember 8, 2021 at 9:19 pm
This was a weird hand from the $5K WPT Venetian back in July. No known pro’s at my table but it was a tough draw with all but 1 opponent playing solid, aggressive poker. The main V is an early 30’s Asian player who has grown his chip stack since the start of play without having to show down very often. V is playing solid aggressive poker without appearing to be getting too out of line. Hero is effective stack with ~30K (starting stack) and has been active early but not significantly higher than an average vpip.
MP Opens 600
Cutoff (Main V) 3-bets to 1,600
Hero calls SB with KJhh
Flop (5,200): Js-7s-4s
Hero leads 1,700
MP folds & V calls in the cutoff
River 1: (8,600): 9x exposed face up after burn card
V lets out an audible sigh and looks annoyed. It seems authentic and just his natural reaction to the situation. The 9 is reshuffled into the deck and a new river is dealt.
River 2: 8x
Final board: Js-7s-4s-8x-8x
Hero checks. V bets 5,000. Hero?What’s your Reaction?
MemberSeptember 10, 2021 at 3:35 pm
This is super interesting spot. If I’m playing this online without live tells or exposed cards, I’m sigh calling this spot. There doesn’t seem to be any benefit in raising, and we’re losing to some hands here, but not that many. Does AsJx take this line? Does AJ without a spade? Or AA-QQ? That’s really the only set of combos I’m worried about losing to right now, so I think I’m ahead, but I don’t think I can get paid by much worse with a raise.
So does the exposed card and tell change things? Well, I’m now 100% certain I’m ahead if that is a reliable tell. But what do we do with that knowledge? What would a 9 benefit? Mainly 99, QT, and maybe J9. QT is pitching itself to any raise, so now I’m really targeting 99 and some J9 with a raise. I think we need to raise but go very small. Maybe a little bit more than a min-click and hope to get hero called.
If we’re not really certain that this tell is reliable, I probably just chicken out on my read, call, and scoop the nice pot.What’s your Reaction?
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