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I don’t really like the river bet at all if we’re taking this bet-fold line. We already have labeled this player an overbetting maniac and we’ve already decided to go into realization mode. Once we’re here, I think we should be checking this river and then deciding. If we truly think they’re a maniac, this is a better line to allow more bluffs to spew and we may have to call. If we’re less confident in our maniac label, we can either see it go check check a lot where we win or call a smaller bet where we also win quite a bit. Basically, I think we win more by checking and face the same tough dilemma on V shoves, but without having just sacrificed 5bb. If we’re planning to fold to a shove here against this player, I don’t like the bet.
