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This ultimately comes down to what we think this player is opening UTG with only 22 big blinds. They should be quite tight here. The 1BB bet on the flop is interesting and the turn looks like he is setting up a river shove. So on the turn, you need to decide if you are going to call off on most rivers, otherwise it’s a turn fold. There are a ton of two pairs, sets, straights and even AK that beat us. I’m wondering what missed draws or hands he would have that are not value heavy, assuming he’s checking back his one pair hands here.
