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This is a spot that comes up a lot. How can you build out a check-raising range without adding draws from out of position? You can’t – they’re the best complement to sets and 2pr combos, and all your XRs are OOP by definition. So the questions are: is this a good candidate for a “draw XR” and if so what is the sizing?
Having two unders is very different than having two overs, even with a K out there – not being able to count on your pair outs makes your showdown value much less likely to be realized as a winner. So if I thought the raiser was cbetting a weak range here I would consider making my XR larger so that I could more confidently assign them a value range and play accordingly on future streets, probably in a polarized fashion. Otherwise the smaller XR I think is more like a value XR with a range of flopped sets targeting a pair of kings and fewer semibluff combos – I don’t know, I often have trouble deciding which combos of bluffing candidates to use when it’s a good spot to pull the trigger, and which ones I prefer to call with to realize my equity. OOP I’m always more inclined to make bigger bets and raises with stronger stronger polarized ranges than IP.
Once the turn pairs I think the half pot bet really only gets them to fold the very bottom of his flop calling range, so even though it favours your range, I’m not sure you’re representing that part of your range with this sizing, if that makes sense. How many 9s XR the flop? So your other sets improved to boats – they were behind them already. This feels like the TSN Turning Point of the hand, where you have to decide if they have a weak enough range that it’s worth another big bet, or if you’re going to try to realize your equity and XC small bets to make your straight on the river. the board pairing is bad for your straight, so even though it improves your range I still probably give up after they call the flop. It seems like such a good bluffing spot though, what am I missing RecPoker Nation?
