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  • binkley

    Member
    August 13, 2020 at 3:23 pm

    For a flop of Kc6d6h, the CO does have a slight range advantage over SB. But I don’t think it’s huge. Given the dryness of the flop, CO could check their entire range. This would not cap the CO range.

    Turn: 3d. This is still a very dry board. A delayed cbet by CO should fold out much of SB range.

    River: 3s.

    A lot of hands are playing the board and can chop at best. Ax and pocket pairs (44+) are unlikely to fold to any bet less than pot sized. As played, we are discounting Kx, 6x, and 3x.

    This is an interesting spot to bet. A half pot bet should never get a non-chop hand to fold. So the bet is aimed at winning half the pot.

    Pot = 1220

    1/2 pot = 610

    Bet = 600

    This is a profitable bet if SB is holding Ax or 44+ less than half the time on the river.