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@SteveFredlund
Hero is in the cutoff.
On the turn, I’m not sure this is the street that I want to get stacks in. I want to bet but if I’m raised, then should I really be calling off? The 9c completes both a straight and flush AND it provides additional outs for a ton of extra hands. Bottom line, this card gives my opponent more equity to win and doesn’t provide me with any help. That being said, it doesn’t mean my opponent hit the flush or straight. Villain saw me check twice and he/she might be trying to take it down.
Possibilities
a) taking a stab with a weak hand (no equity) after seeing no one bet on previous streets.
b) taking a stab with a drawing hand (some equity) as a semi-bluff, expecting to take it down, but will fire favorable rivers, isn’t thinking about good river cards to bluff. In other words, a river bet by them is for value.
c) taking a stab with a drawing hand (some equity) but is planning ahead and willing to bluff on some rivers.
d) he/she has you, you need to hit 4 outs for a full-house and the win.
Action
1) Fold
- I’m only folding to Vu.
2) Call 600
- This is my action 90% of the time…as played.
- Pros:
- I can control the size of the pot.
- If my opponent is bluffing, I want them to continue bluffing.
- If I raise, I don’t think many worse hands will call and a lot of bad river cards can hit (A, Q, J, 4th club) if my opponent was semi-bluffing.
- Cons:
- Calling the turn implies that I will likely check the river. I won’t lead out very often. The most likely cards for me to lead out on are any K or T.
3) Raise
- I’m rarely raising the turn on this board in a tournament. It’s more likely that I call turn, check to Z bettor, and decide whether to re-raise on the safe rivers.
