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  • arw

    Member
    January 4, 2021 at 8:55 pm

    UTG raises 2.38 bb

    You have 39 bb in MP with pocket 7’s

    Fold

    — This isn’t an ideal spot to set-mine. You have too many players behind who can 4-bet if you 3-bet or who can 3-bet if you flat. The opener has you covered and is raising from UTG. Being in MP makes this a difficult spot.

    3-bet

    — This might be the 2nd best option. Raising will help thin the field and get you heads-up. If I get 4-bet, I’m folding 77 a very high % of the time. This is an investment w/ no backbone and I think it’s best avoid it unless I think my opponent will fold to the 3-bet.

    Call

    — I really don’t like this option. It is a cheap investment w/ no backbone and no chance of winning unless you hit. You flop the set about 12% of the time. Given the pot odds, you need to call 2.38 bb to win (1.5 + 2.38 bb). This means you need to win ~38% of the time to break-even on calling. Next, you need to find the hand equity of Pocket 77 vs. the UTG pre-flop raising range as chip leader at the final table. If the decision is close, then consider the implied odds of hitting your hand and whether or not you will get paid if you hit.