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  • tvstensby

    Member
    January 6, 2021 at 3:29 pm

    I think that going all-in with QdQh is a good alternative here. When the pot is this bloated going all-in ensure that you capture your fair share of the pot. If your opponents ranges are wide you benefit from good fold equity. If their ranges are narrow the blocking effect of Ad, Qd and Jd cause their all-in calling ranges to contain a high proportion of pairs and sets that your second nut flush draw does well against.

    I used CREV to calculate your EV vs various opponent ranges. I assumed that opponents calls with the nut flush draw and made hands KK and better when being the first caller. If the LJ calls the CO will only call with nut flushdraws and made hands better than top pair with a kicker higher than the second card. For the runs I did this is a profitable strategy for your opponents. In all runs the preflop calling ranges of both opponents are the same.

    CREV summary:

    EV is -2.21bb vs AA-JJ,AKs-AJs,AKo (3.62% range)

    EV is 3.38bb vs AA-TT,AKs-ATs,AKo-AJo (6.18% range)

    EV is 5.88bb vs AA-TT,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,AKo-ATo,KQo-KJo (10.71% range)

    EV is 8.65bb vs AA-88,AKs-A7s,KQs-K9s,QJs,JTs,AKo-ATo,KQo-KJo (12.52% range)

    EV is 16.67bb vs JJ-22,AQs-A8s,A5s-A3s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s,AQo-ATo,KQo-KJo,[50]AA-QQ,AKs,AKo[/50] (15.76% range)

    EV is 18.97bb vs AA-22,AKs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q2s,JTs-J2s,T9s-T2s,98s-92s,87s-82s,76s-72s,65s-62s,54s-52s,43s-42s,32s,AKo-A2o,KQo-K2o,QJo-QTo,JTo (52.94% range)

    We see that in order to have negative EV our opponents need to call preflop with a range that is very tight. A range more similar to a 4-bet range rather than a calling range.