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Flopping a set of 5s.
So….
Talk to me peeps.
Live tourney.
$180 buy in.
Full stack – I have been at the table 4 hands and the blinds are 200 400.
Stacks well over 60k each.
I have no history with either of the players, saw a few regulars when I arrived and was welcomed by the TD, but I have no history with any player on the table that am aware of.
I am in the SB.
UTG limps
Cut off opens to 3x.
I flat in the SB with 55.
Hoping that UTG will come along for the ride.
BB folds,
UTG flats.
3 handed to the flop.
Flop – Q 8 5 rainbow.
Pot at this point is 4,000
I check my set.
UTG leads out for 2,000
Cutoff flats.
I check raise to 6,000
Pot at this point 18,000
UTG tank folds (find out later AQ)
Cut off thinks for a second and flats.
Turn 10 no FD
I lead out for 10k – I’ve got the initiative
Cut off jams.
Can you call this?
So spoiler alert – he had 88 and flopped a set.
So we were set over set.
and i was on the wrong end of it.
I was thinking that they guy may have been over playing 2 pair, or top top.
Odds of set over set are just so big!
Being so deep can you fold or given you’ve got the set do you just get it in and say – if you’ve got it mate – good on you and see you next week!
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5 Replies
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Not folding. Just one of those spots where you win a lot of the time but not 100% of the time.
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I guess given its the start of the tourny and you have no history you pretty much have to go broke. Although given your check raise on flop that he called and then his shove over your lead on turn, his hand is looking fairly nutty. If you play it a bit slower and more trappy, he would be more likely to put his chips in with hands you have dead (ish) and allow you to win more in this spot overall. If this hands plays out 100 times, which line get the most value? check raise turn might work too? Let the other player think he is in control of the pot and he is more likely to pay you off I think. Most people play so snug in the first few levels, would he be willing to get it all in with AA for example, 1 guy folded AQ – that’s the exact customer you want in this situation long term.
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I love this answer @Flynny thinking long-term is the key!
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