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1/3 NL Cleveland Poker w/ Jim
The opponent in this hand has been chatting with Jim about potentially getting coaching for NL cash games.
We are playing 8 handed.
seat 1 – loose and passive
seat 2 – me
seat 3 – abc
seat 4 – tight
seat 5 – empty
seat 6 – tight
seat 7 – tight
seat 8 – Jim Reid
seat 9 – abc
Seat 9 has been winning a lot of pots while playing decent holdings.
Jim is in the SB, and seat 9 is the BB.
UTG limps for $3
I raise with KK to $15
It folds to seat 9 who calls. Pot is ($1 + $15 + $3 + $15 = $34)
The flop is 973 rainbow. Seat 9 check calls my $20. Pot is ($74)
The turn is A. Check Check
The river is 9. Seat 9 bets $100.
Is this always a fold?
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3 Replies
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Hands that beat me:
sets or boats — 99, AA, 77, 33, A9
trips — K9, Q9, J9, T9, 98 — assume he folds (97, 96, 95, 94, 93, 92)
pair of aces — AK, AQ, AJ, AT, A8, A7, A6, A5, A4, A3, A2
* Some of these AX hands are questionable on whether they call a flop bet.
Combos
99 – 1 combo
AA, 77, 33 – 3 combos each
9X – 8 combos each (6 off-suit, 2 suited)
AX – 12 combos each (8 off-suit, 4 suited)
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= (1 x 1) + (3 x 3) + (8 x 5) + (12 x 11) = quads + sets + trips + ace
= 1 + 9 + 40 + 132
= 182 combos that beat me
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If only suited aces call
= (1 x 1) + (3 x 3) + (8 x 5) + (4 x 11) = quads + sets + trips + ace
= 1 + 9 + 40 + 44
= 94 combos if only suited aces included
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I would fold here. Profile is that this is an ABC player. When an ABC player tells me that he has a big hand, I should believe him. Ax could float the river. There’s a lot of 9x in V’s range that gets to the river. Would V play QQ (the strongest hand that we beat) this way? My answer is no and I’m folding.
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