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3bet the river! (missed value)
5/10 NL $2.5K effective stacks live casino game from a call in show I like…
2 limps, CO raises to $35, Hero on Button 3 bet AsJs to $105, CO calls (heads up)
[$245] Flop: Kh 3s 7s
CO checks, Hero $105, CO calls
[$455] Turn: Kh 3s 7s 10d
CO checks, Hero check behind
[$455] River: Kh 3s 7s 10d Ks
CO checks, Hero bets $105, CO check raises to $305, Hero called, V had AKcc
We pick up equity on turn and could have fired again to get folds in case we miss, or build a pot for when we hit. As played we bet river small targeting a weak hand and V does us the favor to raise. Seems like a great 3 bet spot. V would have a hard time folding a K or a weaker flush. I also think a full house (e.g. K10) would either bet the turn or lead the river fearing some missed value.
Another question…should our flop sizing be smaller? why?
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