Are People Folding Two-Pair Here?

Tagged: Overbet

Hand Histories

Are People Folding Two-Pair Here?

Posted by monkiesystem on May 28, 2023 at 5:06 pm
This is from a workbook from Red Chip Poker. See the attached screenshot. The figures I filled out are correct, according to the answer sheet.

The scenario has V calling down a triple barrel including a 75% river bet with top pair or better. But V is folding any two-pair including top two to a 150% river overbet.

The math strongly suggests the overbet, mainly because the overbet is folding out all two-pairs. Most of the made combos that called the double barrel but fold to the river overbet are top pair. But that seems reasonable.

For the curious among you, I attached a (*.txt) file with the V range that you can copy/paste into Flopzilla.

Are 5/10 cash game players really folding KJ here? How about the lower two-pairs?
Folding-KJ.png 159 KB Image File - Click to view

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Folding-KJ-range.txt 2 KB Text File - Click to view

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[91.6]KcQd[/91.6],[90.2]KcQh,KcQs[/90.2],[89.0]KsQd[/89.0],[88.0]KhQd[/88.0],[87.9]KsQh[/87.9],[87.8]KhQc[/87.8],[87.6]KhQs[/87.6],[87.3]Kh8h[/87.3],[87.1]KsQc[/87.1],[85.1]Kh7h,Ks7s[/85.1],[84.3]KhJs,KcJh,KcJs[/84.3],[83.9]Kh6h,Ks6s[/83.9],[80.8]K5s[/80.8],[78.9]KsJh[/78.9],[75.8]KhTh,KsTs[/75.8],[73.7]9d6d[/73.7],[70.8]Jc8c[/70.8],[68.1]9d8d[/68.1],[61.8]9d7d[/61.8],[61.2]Qc8c[/61.2],[58.4]KcTc[/58.4],[58.1]Tc8c[/58.1],[58.0]AcJc[/58.0],[57.2]Kc8c[/57.2],[54.9]Kc6c[/54.9],[53.7]9h6h[/53.7],[53.4]9h8h[/53.4],[51.5]KhJc[/51.5],[50.6]9s6s[/50.6],[49.8]7d5d[/49.8],[49.4]KsJc[/49.4],[42.6]Kc7c[/42.6],[40.5]9h7h[/40.5],[40.4]9s7s[/40.4],[37.3]AhKs,AcKh,AcKs,AsKh[/37.3],[37.1]8d5d[/37.1],[35.3]AdKh,AdKs[/35.3],[34.4]AdKc[/34.4],[34.0]As9s[/34.0],[32.5]AcQc[/32.5],[31.2]AhKc,AsKc[/31.2],[29.5]6d5d[/29.5],[27.8]Tc7c[/27.8],[27.3]Kc4c[/27.3],[26.5]7s5s[/26.5],[24.6]7h5h[/24.6],[24.5]Ac2c,8c7c[/24.5],[23.8]Kh4h[/23.8],[23.3]JcTc[/23.3],[23.1]8d8c[/23.1],[22.5]8c6c[/22.5],[21.9]Ac3c[/21.9],[20.7]Ac8c[/20.7],[20.4]8h7h[/20.4],[19.8]Ks4s[/19.8],[19.0]8h5h[/19.0],[16.4]8c8h[/16.4],[16.0]KhJh[/16.0],[15.3]Ah9h[/15.3],[14.6]KsJs[/14.6],[14.2]6s5s[/14.2],[13.5]6h5h[/13.5],[13.2]AcTc[/13.2],[13.0]Kc2c[/13.0],[12.9]QcTc[/12.9],[12.0]Ac4c[/12.0],[11.8]JcTs[/11.8],[11.7]JcTh[/11.7],[11.3]8d7d[/11.3],[11.1]Kh2h[/11.1],[8.87]5d5h,5s5d[/8.87],[8.76]Ks2s[/8.76],[7.29]Kh9h[/7.29],[6.86]QcJc[/6.86],[6.18]8d6d[/6.18],[5.26]Ks9s[/5.26],[4.69]JsTc[/4.69],[4.32]JhTc[/4.32],[4.24]9s9h[/4.24],[3.89]Ac7c[/3.89],[3.63]8h6h[/3.63],[2.84]Ac6c[/2.84],[0.50]JcTd[/0.50]

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binkley replied 11 months, 1 week ago 3 Members · 2 Replies
- Overbet
2 Replies

yamel

Member
May 29, 2023 at 10:16 am

Team Player OG Homegamer Dedicated Contributor

Interesting spot. I am no expert, but I can say in the last week I’ve both folded two pair to big sized barrels and called down with a weak one pair. Live you can get a sense of v profile and how many bluffs they have in range. I think this makes all the difference in how much of my range I call down with. But I would say they fold much less at 1/3 than 2/5 or 5/10. So I would not try a bluff like this at the lowest stake in a room or vs. certain opponents.
binkley

Member
May 29, 2023 at 12:04 pm

Team Player RECing Crew OG Homegamer Dedicated Contributor

This doesn’t look like a scary board for KJ. FD missed. No SD on flop although BD draws did complete (T9, 76). V does a few sets (KK, 99), but KJ blocks top set.

I think KJ calls here.

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Are People Folding Two-Pair Here?

yamel

binkley