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Can We Get Away From AA Here?
<div>Playing 6-handed cash I lost a buy-in with AA in the SB. Can we get away from AA here?</div>
Not according to Range Trainer Pro. I set up Range Trainer Pro as closely as possible, putting myself in the BB vs. BTN in an 80bb 3bet pot. The hand with TT folded to my C-bet on the flop so the situation is similar enough, I think.
According to Range Trainer Pro I overplayed this hand. It says I should have bet smaller most of the time, though my larger bet was not a dominated strategy either. Then after being called on the flop, it says I should’ve gone into check-call mode. Either way, I’m getting stacked off.
Is there an exploitative strategy here against a small stakes player pool that allows me to get away from AA?
Note that this game is anonymous, with players being shuffled between tables every hand. The only read is a population read.
Ignition – $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) – Holdem – 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.comMP: $35.71
CO: $45.07
BTN: $25.74
Hero (SB): $34.38
BB: $28.56
UTG: $34.18Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) MP has Td Th
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) CO has 3c 6d
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) BTN has 6h 5h
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Ac Ah
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) BB has Qh 5c
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) UTG has Js 4d
fold, MP raises to $0.50, fold, BTN calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, fold, MP calls $1.75, BTN calls $1.75Flop : ($7.00, 3 players) 5d 2h 7s
Hero bets $4.99, fold, BTN calls $4.99Turn : ($16.98, 2 players) 8d
Hero bets $8.07, BTN calls $8.07River : ($33.12, 2 players) 9c
Hero checks, BTN bets $10.43 and is all-in, Hero calls $10.43BTN shows 6h 5h (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 20%, Flop 21%, Turn 28%)Hero mucks Ac Ah (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 80%, Flop 79%, Turn 72%)BTN wins $51.98
Rake paid $2.00 -
3 Replies
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Not for a 1/3 pot bet. I mean, you could fold for the 10 bucks, given that they always have it. But what they have might be QQ, JJ, TT, etc. I think you probably can find 25% of hands that you beat that he might think are value.
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PF — MP opens 2 bb, BTN calls 2 bb, you raise from SB to 9 bb, both call.
F — you c-bet 20 bb, MP folds TT (wow), BTN calls 5 bb
T — you bet 32 bb, BTN calls
R — you check, BTN bets 42 bb all in.
With AA on a (5d 2h 7s 8d 9c) board,
— the flop is a rainbow and the only flush draw is diamonds. I think these hands (Ad6d, Ad7d, 7d6d, JdTd, 9d7d) could possibly be in your opponents PF calling range.
— assuming our opponent didn’t call pre-flop with a hand (2), these are two-pair combos (75, 87, 97, 98) that make more sense for a pre-flop calling range.
— hand combos containing a (6) include hands like (A6, 65, 76) assuming that these are more likely to be suited if our opponent plays the hand.
— set combos include (55, 22, 77, 88, 99). I think 22-99 are all possible in the buttons PF calling range. Even though 99 rivered a set, it still was an over-pair to the board with a possible gut-shot.
It looks like A LOT of hands can beat one pair of AA on this board. The BTN can have a wider range. They are more likely to call with speculative hands while in position. Thus, a range that likely includes some hands like 22 – 99, some no-gappers like 43s, 54s, 65s, 76s, 87s, 98s, T9s, JTs, and some 1-gappers like J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, 75s, 64s.
Checking the river was wise. With all those speculative combos, I think river cards like any 9, 6, 4, or 3 were all dangerous.
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