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Cooler or ???
Here’s a hand I played this weekend. Did I make a mistake by not leading the turn because it will check through so often? And on this river, I just snap called, but is it really that easy for this big of a shove? Are we ever capable of folding this?
Game Hand #983440349 – Tournament #25604660 – Holdem(No Limit) – Level 2 (150.00/300.00)- 2021/10/17 17:27:38 UTC
Table ’30’ 8-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: RichGamble (42086.00)
Seat 2: FiveByFive (44039.00)
Seat 3: Beastmode36 (32193.00)
Seat 4: goirish68 (35680.00)
Seat 5: Tgzeus (51278.00)
Seat 6: npgwolf (32490.00)
Seat 7: n2range (18321.00)
Seat 8: zAfStOp_Re (33150.00)
RichGamble posts ante 40.00
FiveByFive posts ante 40.00
Beastmode36 posts ante 40.00
goirish68 posts ante 40.00
Tgzeus posts ante 40.00
npgwolf posts ante 40.00
n2range posts ante 40.00
zAfStOp_Re posts ante 40.00
RichGamble posts the small blind 150.00
FiveByFive posts the big blind 300.00
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Main pot 320.00
Dealt to FiveByFive [Jc 6c]
Beastmode36 folds
goirish68 folds
Tgzeus raises 750.00 to 750.00
npgwolf calls 750.00
n2range folds
zAfStOp_Re folds
RichGamble calls 600.00
FiveByFive calls 450.00
*** FLOP *** [6h Jd 6s]
Main pot 3320.00
RichGamble checks
FiveByFive checks
Tgzeus checks
npgwolf bets 1350.00
RichGamble folds
FiveByFive calls 1350.00
Tgzeus folds
*** TURN *** [6h Jd 6s] [5c]
Main pot 6020.00
FiveByFive checks
npgwolf checks
*** RIVER *** [6h Jd 6s 5c] [Th]
Main pot 6020.00
FiveByFive bets 4816.00
npgwolf raises 30350.00 to 30350.00 and is all-in
FiveByFive calls 25534.00
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Main pot 66720.00
FiveByFive shows [Jc 6c] (a full house, Sixs full of Jacks [6s 6h 6c Jd Jc])
npgwolf shows [Tc Ts] (a full house, Tens full of Sixs [Ts Th Tc 6s 6h])
npgwolf collected 66720.00 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 66720.00
Board [6h Jd 6s 5c Th]
Seat 1: RichGamble (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: FiveByFive (big blind) showed [Jc 6c] and lost with a full house, Sixs full of Jacks [6s 6h 6c Jd Jc]
Seat 3: Beastmode36 folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 4: goirish68 folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 5: Tgzeus folded on the Flop
Seat 6: npgwolf showed [Tc Ts] and won 66720.00 with a full house, Tens full of Sixs [Ts Th Tc 6s 6h]
Seat 7: n2range folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 8: zAfStOp_Re (button) folded on the Pre-Flop
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1 Reply
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Running this on GTO+ with assumed ranges of 66-22,A7s-A6s,A3s-A2s,K9s-K2s,Q9s-Q6s,J8s-J6s,T8s-T6s,97s-96s,87s-85s,76s-74s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s-42s,32s,A9o-A2o,KJo-K8o,QJo-Q8o,JTo-J8o,T9o-T8o,98o-97o,87o-86o,76o,65o,54o for the BB and TT-88,AJs-ATs,KQs-KJs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,[50.0]77-22,A9s-A6s,A3s-A2s,KTs-K9s,QTs-Q9s,J9s,AQo-ATo,KQo[/50.0] for Villain. Since we are not sure of villain’s range, we can put the set of weaker hands at a 50% frequency.
Since everybody else who got into this flop folded, we can make some assumptions about ranges and use a solver to analyze it.
Please correct me if I am way off with the BB range.
First interesting thing: The solver gives a 27% donking frequency with this flopped full house. After V bets on the small side, BB calls 100%.
With this 5c turn the solver has us leading out 77% to a 1/3 pot size. We checked and villain checked back.
As played with the river being the Th the solver says 1% leading 150% of the pot, 27% betting 75% of the pot, and checking 69%. It says bet 33% of the pot only 3%.
We chose the larger fraction of the pot. Villain then jams only with TT. He jams 100% TdTc, 41% TsTc, and 29% TsTd.
After villain jams we call with our holding 100% of the time. We’re not folding any 6 in our range. All of them are full houses or quads anyway.
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