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Facing Pot sized donk bet
Preflop- If I wanted to play, I should have raised more. 4.4-5.5 BB (pot). Mistake #1.
Flop- facing a pot sized donk bet from LJ limper on JhTh4c board. I have 2nd pair w/ BDSD and BDFD. The cool thing about double back doors is all the blockers to the nuts.
I considered a raise with my blockers, but opponent is 60/6/0 over 21 hands, so they haven’t shown much aggression. Is this an auto fold? If I fold this, am I folding too much? He is betting 1 to win 2, so if I fold more than 1/2 the time, he is printing. It also means that to be balanced he needs 1 bluff for every 2 value bets.
I need to call 1 to win 3, meaning I need 33% equity to continue.
What is my equity against a LJ limp/call range here? Do YOU call with FDs? Sets? Gutshots?
I called, but this is probably another mistake.Turn- comes the Qd. My BDFD goes up in smoke, but now I have an open-ender and an overcard. He cbets pot again, leaving 10BB behind. Same math applies. Whatever I called with, I can only fold 1/2 of that range, and the 1/2 that continues needs to have 33% equity. UGH. I hate getting run over by aggros, but this player isn’t the aggro one at the table. Maybe I saw magenta and got confused.
What hands do you get here with that continue? AK? 89? FDs?
What are they doing this with? Sets? Do they have any straights? Flush draws? 2 pairs?
I have 8 good outs(?) with an overcard. 8 outs turn to river is 17.39% Clear fold, so I ego shove the last 10BB. 4th card. 3rd mistake.
He calls, I obviously lose. On the flop he bet pot w/ 3rd pair and a BDSD and didn’t block the flush draws. On the turn he bet pot/called w/ 4th pair and the dumb end of the open ender.
Do you think limping behind preflop is an option? What size squeeze would you call if you limped behind?
What hands do you get to flop, turn, and showdown with here, and are you satisfying Minimum Defense Frequency? Or do you not care about being run over?
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