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Folding AA to a small river bet?
So I’m curious what others think of this spot (full hand history below). I’ll explain my postflop thinking and see if you agree.
Flop: Ugh. This squares up with a decent amount of continuing range for V. Main V is likely to continue with pairs 88-JJ and connected broadway combos (AJ, KQ, KJs, AQ). Although my hand is still strong, I prefer a check call line multiway in this spot. Interestingly, it checks around.
Turn: The 10d is also not a great card for my hand even though I add the gutshot. V gets there with 1010 and AJ. I still beat some of V’s value (AQ, QJ, Q10, JJ) that may decide to continue here, so I do take the check call line. I like the check call line because V will be incentivized to check back brick rivers. If this goes check check on the river, I likely win. I’m planning to fold to river bets on brick rivers.
River: So the river is a brick, I’m planning to fold to a bet, but then V chooses a very small size. 25% pot. Now I’m tempted. I’d argue that V should never be betting here without Kx+, but is that true of population? Does AQ or JJ see my passive line and take a stab for value? I still end up folding, but I’m curious, would you call this small bet?
Here’s the full hand history:
Game Hand #690293474 – Tournament #23967775 – Holdem(No Limit) – Level 29 (1100.00/2200.00)
Table ’73’ 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Wavy Crockett (38456.00)
Seat 2: honestbluff (52893.00)
Seat 3: FiveByFive (106550.00)
Seat 4: Around9Asians (92034.00)
Seat 5: d0p3z (29950.00)
Seat 6: MotorCityGrinder (23900.00)
Seat 7: peteypickles (89538.00)
Seat 8: AuntJamima (113955.00)
Seat 9: Steeler 7 (34382.00)
Wavy Crockett posts ante 275.00
honestbluff posts ante 275.00
FiveByFive posts ante 275.00
Around9Asians posts ante 275.00
d0p3z posts ante 275.00
MotorCityGrinder posts ante 275.00
peteypickles posts ante 275.00
AuntJamima posts ante 275.00
Steeler 7 posts ante 275.00
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Main pot 2475.00
FiveByFive posts the small blind 1100.00
Around9Asians posts the big blind 2200.00
Dealt to FiveByFive [Ac Ah]
d0p3z folds
MotorCityGrinder folds
peteypickles raises 4620.00 to 4620.00
AuntJamima folds
Steeler 7 folds
Wavy Crockett calls 4620.00
honestbluff folds
FiveByFive raises 15455.00 to 16555.00
Around9Asians folds
peteypickles calls 11935.00
Wavy Crockett calls 11935.00
*** FLOP *** [Qc Kd Ks]
Main pot 54340.00
FiveByFive checks
peteypickles checks
Wavy Crockett checks
*** TURN *** [Qc Kd Ks] [Td]
Main pot 54340.00
FiveByFive checks
peteypickles bets 12498.00
Wavy Crockett folds
FiveByFive calls 12498.00
*** RIVER *** [Qc Kd Ks Td] [4s]
Main pot 79336.00
FiveByFive checks
peteypickles bets 24594.00
FiveByFive folds
Uncalled bet (24594.00) returned to peteypickles
peteypickles does not show
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 79336.00
Board [Qc Kd Ks Td 4s]
Seat 1: Wavy Crockett folded on the Turn
Seat 2: honestbluff (button) folded on the Pre-Flop
Seat 3: FiveByFive (small blind) folded on the River
Seat 4: Around9Asians (big blind) folded on the Pre-Flop
Seat 5: d0p3z folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 6: MotorCityGrinder folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 7: peteypickles did not show and won 79336.00
Seat 8: AuntJamima folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
Seat 9: Steeler 7 folded on the Pre-Flop and did not bet
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