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Hand Read these geniuses.
Let’s do some hand reading. Write this down as we go. Maybe use some software like Flopzilla if you have it. If not, you should have Equilab, it’s free.
Blinds are 30/60 in a 3.30 ACR tourney.
I am the effective stack with 196BB.
Villain is 54/38 with a 29% 3bet over only 13 hands, and 2X opens UTG.
I don’t know if I mis-clicked or was looking for action, but I did a horrible 2.6X 3Bet to 5.22 from the BU with ???. Villain calls. Stop.
S.T.O.P. – Stop, Think, Observe, Plan.
What are our ranges?
Don’t use charts, you are watching this hand play out in real time. No RTA allowed.
WRITE THEM DOWN! Hold yourself accountable. You can check them with charts and solvers later if you do, and maybe learn that you have a leak.Flop 3h5s7s. (12.87)
Check, check. Stop. What do each of us have? What would have you done given those ranges? What do you anticipate on future streets?Since this is a 3bet pot, neither one of us should have much of this flop except for sets, overpairs and flush draws, and I might have a gutshot bluff. Maybe I should have bet to take it down now? What size?
Turn 2s
Villain pots it for 12.87BB. Whoa. What did he call our 3bet with? What is he doing this with? Answer before reading on.
In game, I think of the sets. Would he open small pairs UTG? This deep and with his “run good” stats, it’s possible for him to have all 24.
And of course, just an over pair.
I don’t think he called my terrible 3bet with 6-4, but maybe with A-4, 12 combos. Probably just A4s, 3 combos.
Then as far as the flushes I just put him on the broadways, half a dozen combos or so.
Pot odds 33%.
Stop. What do you do? What hands to you call or raise? Why?I decide to put him to a decision. If he doesn’t have the nuts this is gonna suck. I 4X 2bet to 51.47BB.
He calls. Stop.
What’s he got? What do I have?River 8h. (115.8)
He checks, Stop.What ranges do each of us have here?
Given the ranges you put us on, what should I do?
SpoilerI’ve got Ace high in a 115BB pot!
What the hell was I thinking? How often is my Ace high good? 👨🎓.
I’ve got 139BB behind, I can check and lose and still be fine, except everyone at the table will value bet me relentlessly from now on and bluff less, which in a way is easier. Well, at least the players paying attention will.
Do I really want to give up 75BB that easy?
Not this fish, lol.
I still think it is more likely that he has a set or an over pair, and not a flush.
I pot it, leaving me about 25BB to play with. Of course, he puts me all in, and I have to call 25 to win 465. I decide to just re-buy instead of grind, and call. One of my many bad decisions.What hands are both of us getting here with?
Maybe I can get a scholarship as a punter somewhere….🏈. I don’t think I would do this in a higher buy-in tournament. Maybe I have this backwards. A better player might be more likely to fold?
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