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How to get heads up in the home game.
Posted by eanderson85 on April 23, 2022 at 10:58 pmeanderson85 replied 2 years ago 3 Members · 4 Replies -
4 Replies
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Ah, the benefits of folding in tournaments!
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How often do you flop a set? Every ambitious poker player should know this number by heart: 11.8% of the time or once every 9 times you see a flop with your pair. A scenario many poker players are afraid of is the dreaded set over set: you flop a set but one of your opponents flops a better set.
Although quite unlikely, this scenario is not that uncommon. If two players have pocket pairs, both will flop a set simultaneously roughly once every 100 flops. You still need two players to have a pocket pair at the same time for that to happen (odds of being dealt any pocket pair = 16-to-1 (5.88%)).
At a full-ring table you can expect to see a set-over-set scenario roughly once every 1,200 hands (assuming all players with pocket pairs always see a flop).
Heads-up this scenario is much more unlikely, though. It should happen only once every 42,000 hands.
What about three players all flopping a set at the same time? The math shows this scenario is extremely unlikely. At a full-ring table you’ll only see that every 166k hands.
With only three players at the table, this number increases to once every 14 million hands. A true long-shot!
0.0000% 1:13,960,821 -
The first hand I played after making the above post. $22 ACR.
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