-
TPTK Facing Huge Overbet
I late regged this ACR micro tourney and this is my third hand. No history on the players.
Yatahay Network – 75/150 NL (8 max) – Holdem – 8 players
BB: 92.34 BB
Hero (UTG): 65.27BB
UTG+1: 54.33 BB
LJ: 61.33 BB
HJ: 81 BB
CO: 133.73 BB
BTN: 29.87 BB
SB: 94.35 BB
8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre-Flop: (pot: 2.57 BB) Hero has As Tc
Hero raises to 2.5 BB, UTG+1 calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (11.07 BB, 4 players) 6c Td 7c
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 4.15 BB, fold, SB calls 4.15 BB, BB raises to 89.71 BB and is all-in, Hero???
What would you do?
What is he jamming with here?
I don’t think he jams with a set, a straight, two pair, or an overpair. That leaves hands that he is using to get a fold: top pair hands and flush or straight draws. I have 67% equity against that range. Talk me out of the call.
-
2 Replies
-
I’m running into this more and more too. I call it the Michael Addamo effect. Everyone sees his amazing overbets and decides, well, I’ll just do that. But most people who do this ain’t Michael Addamo. But back to the hand…I’m not ready to fully discount some strong value here. There is a player type that will flop a set or straight here and just wants to win now while they know they’re good. This one time in 2012 they slowplayed a set in this spot and someone made a flush. Never happening to them again! But I’d agree that most players aren’t playing this way, but that player type and range has to be taken into account in my mind.
The other interesting factor is that we have the Tc. Another common just get it all in type hand in this spot is the ole pair + flush draw, but they can’t have that since you have the Tc. The other then most likely candidates are the combo draws and nut flush draws. 4c5c makes a lot of sense. So does 5c8c. And BB can have them both. The nut flush draw kind of nice since you have an A yourself, that part of the draw is never going to overtake you.
If they’re crazy enough to do this with a worse T, we’re printing if we call. I’m probably shaking my head and calling here and really hoping I’m not against the player type that got scared with 89.
-
Hands that beat you:
– straight (98) — (16 combos)
– sets (66, 77, TT) — (3 + 3 + 1 combos)
– two pair (T7, T6, 76) — (6 + 6 + 9 combos)
– overpair (AA, KK, QQ, JJ) — (3 + 6 + 6 + 6 combos)
Total = 16 + 7 + 21 + 21 = 65 combos
Feel free to omit (T7 and T6) if you think the opponents won’t defend with those.
Hands that you beat:
– worse kicker (KT, QT, JT, T9, T8) — 12 combos of each
– worse pair (A7, A6, K7, K6) — 12 combos of each
– pair + draw (97, 96, 87, 86) — 12 combos of each
– draw (J9, J8, 85) — 16 combos of each
Log in to reply.