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Would You Make This Hero Call?
Poker After Dark, Season 13, Episode 2, 3:59
Cash, 200/400, 7 players
Folds to CO, 118,400, open Ad7d to 1,100, fold, SB, 52,200, KhTh 3-bet 4,000, fold, CO call.
Flop (8,800) Kc8s5c
SB bet 1,500, CO call.
Turn (11,800) Qh
SB ck, CO bet 4,400, SB call.
River (20,600) Qs
SB ck, CO bet 12,300, SB call. CO muck.
There is a lot going on here.
The preflop action was standard.
The SB sizing of the C-bet after the preflop 3-bet is interesting. The static flop indicates a small C-bet size, especially when following up a preflop 3-bet. But this 1,500 C-bet was just over one-sixth of the pot. Range Trainer Pro has OOP C-bets in 3-bet pots at 20%. So this sizing could be considered standard. That very small sizing is something for us to consider in similar spots.
The CO had only 22% equity on this flop with his holding, but usually calls given the small C-bet size. Would you call this C-bet in your games?
With the Qh turn GTO strategy recommends a second barrel for about two-thirds of the pot. But the SB elected to check-call. The announcer suggested this was a trap, and the CO fell into it.
The question here is if TP-mediocre kicker is strong enough to trap with. Traps should usually be done with a polarized range. I think SB simply went into check down mode. SB needs to be concerned about KQ, KJ, while being happy about AQ, QJ. Maybe SB had a read that CO attacks perceived weakness with too many bluffs.
With the SB’s check-call and this turn card, CO’s equity dropped to under 10%. GTO strategy recommends that this is a pure check-behind, but CO opted to bet, probably hoping SB has totally missed this flop, probably with an ace-high hand. When SB called, this has to be a cause for concern for CO.
SB’s dominant strategy here was to call with his holding.
The offsuit queen on the river may have been seen by CO as a bluff card, repping trip queens.
GTO strategy recommends for SB checking about 70% of the time here, and betting two-thirds pot about 30% of the time. GTO doesn’t even have a recommendation for CO here; he shouldn’t have still been in the hand up to this point. In any event, GTO strategy recommends calling the 60% pot river bet 100% of the time.
Was CO’s river bet of 60% of the pot big enough, given his polarized range here?
Would you have made SB’s hero call in your games?
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2 Replies
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Were they celebrities or pros? This probably should be the first question.
Hero calls and thin value are always player dependent.
The problem with TV poker is you don’t know how much action hit the cutting room floor. You always see the set over sets, but you miss a lot of the raise and everyone folds hands.
The flop is so small you can probably go for a 6 or an Ace in the CO. 14% chance, 16% odds. Depends on how much action you need to give to get invited back to the party. Nits don’t get invited back to TV poker shows.
On the turn, SB must have noticed that CO pounced on weakness, otherwise I don’t like the check. You can get value from a Queen and the draws. A check raise seems optimistic, so check/call it is.
None of the draws completed, so I could see the CO call on the river against some players if they are capable of bluffing a missed draw, I don’t know what else they think they are beating.
“It was suited!” -
Pros I guess. SB is Matt Berkey and CO is Zach Franzi.
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