pokergeekmn
Forum Replies Created
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorApril 14, 2024 at 5:31 pm in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionCONGRATS to Joe Kulas for winning MaREC Madness 2024!!!
Here are the belated results for MaREC Madness 2024. You earn 1 point for predicting a first round winner. 2 points for round 2, 3 points for round 3 and 4 points for round 4. Points will be used as a tiebreaker if more than one person picks the correct champion. No one picked Joe Kulas as the winner, so the points winner is unclefester.
User Name – Bracket ID – Points
unclefester – 378972517 – 14
pokergeekmn – 715827814 – 11
stueyy – 647387494 – 9
fivebyfive – 442935721 – 8
evilroy – 714762581 – 8
aceragoff – 648374634 – 7
jasperjr – 375744874 – 7
mattiebumpo – 693544341 – 7
rabman50 – 429549993 – 7
roger_graphex16 – 715549097 – 7
tvstensby – 631924070 – 5
ebenflows – 627485082 – 4
jbtwincities – 631925162 – 4
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 27, 2024 at 9:29 am in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionHere are the results after the second round (Elite 8) of matches. You earn 1 point for predicting a first round winner. 2 points for round 2, 3 points for round 3 and 4 points for round 4. Points will be used as a tiebreaker if more than one person picks the correct champion.
There are no perfect brackets, but unclefester has a huge lead.
User Name – Bracket ID – Points
unclefester – 378972517 – 14
stueyy – 647387494 – 9
fivebyfive – 442935721 – 8
pokergeekmn – 715827814 – 8
evilroy – 714762581 – 8
aceragoff – 648374634 – 7
jasperjr – 375744874 – 7
mattiebumpo – 693544341 – 7
rabman50 – 429549993 – 7
roger_graphex16 – 715549097 – 7
tvstensby – 631924070 – 5
ebenflows – 627485082 – 4
jbtwincities – 631925162 – 4
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 16, 2024 at 11:41 am in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionHere are the results after the first round (8 matches). You earn 1 point for predicting a first round winner. 2 points for round 2, 3 points for round 3 and 4 points for round 4. Points will be used as a tiebreaker if more than one person picks the correct champion.
unclefester is the only person with a perfect bracket so far, but everyone still has at least 4 live horses in the race.
User Name – Bracket ID – Points
unclefester – 378972517 – 8
fivebyfive – 442935721 – 6
pokergeekmn – 715827814 – 6
aceragoff – 648374634 – 5
evilroy – 714762582 – 5
jasperjr – 375744874 – 5
mattiebumpo – 693544341 – 5
rabman50 – 429549993 – 5
roger_graphex16 – 715549097 – 5
stueyy – 647387494 – 5
tvstensby – 631924070 – 5
ebenflows – 627485082 – 4
jbtwincities – 631925162 – 4
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 7, 2024 at 8:57 pm in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionHere are the results after the first four matches. You earn 1 point for predicting a first round winner. 2 points for round 2, 3 points for round 3 and 4 points for round 4.
Unclefester and tvstensby have perfect brackets.
User Name – Bracket ID – Points
unclefester – 378972517 – 4
tvstensby – 631924070 – 4
pokergeekmn – 715827814 – 3
evilroy – 714762582 – 3
fivebyfive – 442935721 – 3
aceragoff – 648374634 – 3
rabman50 – 429549993 – 3
stueyy – 647387494 – 3
jasperjr – 375744874 – 3
jbtwincities – 631925162 – 3
roger_graphex16 – 715549097 – 3
mattiebumpo – 693544341 – 3
-ebenflows – 627485082 – 2
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorFebruary 19, 2024 at 9:25 pm in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionHere are my picks.
https://bracket.rec.poker/?bracket=2024&id=715827814
Bracket ID = 715827814
Round 1 Winners:
gfhawk (Eric Romo)
MonkieSystem (Keith Brandt)
eastcoastbidder (Ben Enslow)
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
mbabker (Michael Babker)
GopherBoyTJM (Taylor)
Chicago Joey (Joe Ingram)
PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
Round 2 Winners:
MonkieSystem (Keith Brandt)
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
GopherBoyTJM (Taylor)
PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
Round 3 Winners:
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
Round 4 Winners:
PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
Tournament Champion:
PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
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pokergeekmn
MemberMay 22, 2023 at 6:23 pm in reply to: Deep Dive Playing Session on May 22: Reshove StacksI’m available
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I’ll play if the table isn’t full already.
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Limit hold’em ranges are dramatically different than no limit ranges. And people are often (correctly) much more aggressive with weaker holdings or with draws than when compared.
I don’t disagree with any of your analysis, but I think an argument could be made to check allowing weaker hands to bet without risking the check-raise. I think the situation is close either way. That $8 bet probably is plus or minus $1 of actual equity vs checking.
But I think an understanding your opponents tendencies should really be used as the deciding factor.
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I have some nit picky comments on the odds.
— the chances of being dealt AA are (4/52)(3/51) = (12/2652) = 1 in 221
— the chances of being dealt AA or KK (8/52)(3/51) = 24/2652 = 1 in 442
— the chances of being dealt any pair is (52/52)(3/51) = 1 in 17
— the chances of being dealt AA back to back is (1/221)(1/221) = 1 in 48,841
— the chances of being dealt any pair back to back is (1/17)(1/17) = 1 in 289
— the chances of AA, AA, and AA is (1/221)(1/221)(1/221) = 1 in 10.8 million
— the chances of any pair 3x b2b is (1/17)(1/17)(1/17) = 1 in 4913
— the chances of being dealt AA are (4/52)(3/51) = (12/2652) = 1 in 221
— the chances of being dealt AA or KK (8/52)(3/51) = 24/2652 = 1 in 442
— the chances of being dealt any pair is (52/52)(3/51) = 1 in 17
— the chances of being dealt AA back to back is (1/221)(1/221) = 1 in 48,841
— the chances of being dealt any pair back to back is (1/17)(1/17) = 1 in 289
— the chances of AA, AA, and AA is (1/221)(1/221)(1/221) = 1 in 10.8 million
— the chances of any pair 3x b2b is (1/17)(1/17)(1/17) = 1 in 4913These are the odds with a fixed starting point. In other words, what are the odds I get dealt AA in the next three hands. However we rarely care about when the first instance happens. I think it’s more likely to say, once you are dealt AA what are the odd of getting AA the next hand. (1 in 221) What are the odds of getting dealt AA the next two times? (1/221)(1/221) = 1 in 48,841. So on average, if you are dealt AA 50,000 times, you should get dealt AA three times in a row once.
And it’s not coincidence that it will take about 11 million hands to get dealt AA 50,000 times.
This doesn’t discount any of the analysis, but I think it’s an important distinction between starting with a random starting point, or after a certain event has already occurred.
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMay 18, 2022 at 2:12 pm in reply to: Using PokerTracker to track RecPoker Home GamesI think this may be a change due to the fact that Ontario is now a ring-fenced area. Try connections to Vancouver if going to Canada, or connect to Mexico.
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pokergeekmn
MemberApril 25, 2022 at 7:43 pm in reply to: First of the Deep Dives: Cbetting in Position (in Single Raised Pots)I’m not going to be able to make it after all.
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pokergeekmn
MemberMarch 28, 2022 at 6:34 pm in reply to: Next Seminar: Preflop Ranges and Bet SizingI can play if you need another.
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In order to keep my incentives all aligned, I had to pick me as the overall victor. Not sure that’s where the smart money should go though.
NOTE: Use the preformatted text option to paste without having to add line breaks.
https://bracket.rec.poker/?bracket=2022&id=714430825
Bracket ID = 714430825 Round 1 Winners: GopherBoyTJM (Taylor Maas) fergie56 (Kim Kilroy) kekgeek65 (Jacob Kieke) McVean (Chad McVean) FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones) Combinkley (Eric Gin) dealer412 (Andrew Feist) PokerGeekMN (John Somsky) Round 2 Winners: GopherBoyTJM (Taylor Maas) kekgeek65 (Jacob Kieke) FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones) PokerGeekMN (John Somsky) Round 3 Winners: kekgeek65 (Jacob Kieke) PokerGeekMN (John Somsky) Round 4 Winners: PokerGeekMN (John Somsky) Tournament Champion: PokerGeekMN (John Somsky)
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 18, 2024 at 6:29 pm in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and Discussion@evilroy, here is your updated bracket.
https://bracket.rec.poker/?bracket=2024&id=714762581
Bracket ID = 714762581
Round 1 Winners:
elvida11 (Joe Kulas)
MonkieSystem (Keith Brandt)
Hockey_Poker702 (Joseph Wills)
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
PetVet33 (Kim Kilroy)
GopherBoyTJM (Taylor)
Chicago Joey (Joe Ingram)
FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones)
Round 2 Winners:
MonkieSystem (Keith Brandt)
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
PetVet33 (Kim Kilroy)
FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones)
Round 3 Winners:
kpokerwanabe (Ron Peyton)
FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones)
Round 4 Winners:
FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones)
Tournament Champion:
FiveByFive555 (Chris Jones)
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 18, 2024 at 6:26 pm in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionI didn’t see that. I’ll update your picks.
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pokergeekmn
AdministratorMarch 18, 2024 at 9:16 am in reply to: MaREC Madness 2024 Predictions and DiscussionNo, because some of the matches had already been played.
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pokergeekmn
MemberMay 22, 2023 at 7:44 pm in reply to: Deep Dive Playing Session on May 22: Reshove StacksIf there isn’t enough room, you can take my seat. I’ve played a number of these, but I’m more than willing to make room for others.
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pokergeekmn
MemberApril 23, 2022 at 2:26 pm in reply to: First of the Deep Dives: Cbetting in Position (in Single Raised Pots)I’d love to join, but as others said, give precedent to people who’ve played in this less often.
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I’m available if you need me too.