binkley
Forum Replies Created
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This week’s video.
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Sorry for the late post, but here is the video link.
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Hand #1: I prefer a bigger bet on the flop. There are many draws (FD, GSSD) that we can target for value. With bottom set, we unblock TP and middle pair that would call. If we had a FD ourselves, we would be betting big. With the third heart coming on the turn, our hand goes down in strength. I prefer a smaller bet. If we made a flush ourselves, we may choose a smaller bet size to get calls by single pairs.
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Link to video:
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If you need another body, I can join.
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Per the events calendar it’s scheduled for this Monday Dec 18.
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We should be 3betting our best hands (AA, KK, AKs, etc) for value. Adding bluffing hands such as A5s and A4s to our 3betting range provides an incentive for our opponents to continue with the weaker part of their range. But if our opponents are calling too much, then we don’t need to have 3bet bluffs. I prefer a call with A4s.
Another consideration is how likely the BB would squeeze if you call from the SB. My guess is that this player pool is not likely to squeeze.
Flop 3c Ts 4d
What strong hands do you have in your range? You have middle and bottom set (44, 33). Do you have top set? If you would have 3bet with TT, then you don’t have top set.
Do you have any 2 pair combos? Are you calling from the SB with T4s, T3s, or any 43? There are hands that you might call from BB when closing the action but not always from SB. This boards hits BB range more than your range from the SB.
As you acknowledged, it’s giving your opponents too much credit to assume that they are thinking about how your range hits this board. In the same vein, did you consider your opponents range? How often will they have top pair?
There were 3 callers (EP, HJ, CO). Tx comprise a large part of there calling ranges. Hand like KT, QT,JT, and T9 are hands that player want to play but aren’t strong enough to 3bet.
Trying to bluff low stakes players off of top pair is not a profitable strategy.
It’s great that you’re working on adding aggression to your game. I just don’t think this was the spot to do it. But the willingness to make mistakes is part of learning and growing.
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Video link
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Before I comment on the specifics of the hand, I’m interested in hearing any reads you have on the player pool for this event (Ignition $15 Triple-up).
– Would you guess the average player is calling too much or folding too much to 3bets?
– Are they thinking in ranges? Do they think about their opponents range and how the board interacts with it?
– How often are they folding top pair on the flop? On the turn?
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Video link
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I like the 3bet at this stack depth. Our hand is strong enough to 3bet for value and we prefer to play heads-up. My charts say that JJ is a mix of 3bet and call.
The button calling is something that we wanted to discourage with the 3bet. But it’s not shocking for low stakes players to call too wide.
UTG 4bet is strong. V is betting into 2 players and reopening the action, when they could have called and see a flop. The 4bet sizing is on the small size given the BN cold call.
But I don’t like this call for a few reasons. We aren’t closing the action. The BN flat of your 3bet caps his range but I’ve seen Iggy player do the strange back jams.
A balanced 4bet range would contain bluffs like AQo and A5s. Most V at these stakes are not including these type of bluffs. I agree with your observation that 4bets are almost always QQ+. Is the 4bet ever TT? (I vote no).
Finally, you don’t cover either opponent. This means their bounties are not in play. But yours is. Being able to collect a bounty gives you extra incentive to play for all the chips. But this isn’t the case here.
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Video link:
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Yes. All premium members are welcome to join.
The next PEAL session is November 30th. (We’re skipping this week’s due to the Thanksgiving holiday.)
In the meantime, you can watch previous sessions. I also suggest reviewing the playing instructions and setting up a PokerNow.club account.
I look forward to you joining us.
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Video link
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To answer question of opponents chip stack at the start of the hand, I made 3 assumptions:
– Preflop raiser was not in the small blind.
– There is a big blind ante.
– The turn was checked through.
After our preflop call, the pot includes the ante (1bb), the small blind (0.5bb), opponent raise (2.5bb) and our call (2.5bb). Pot is 6.5bb.
The pot doubles after we call a 1/2 pot bet. Going to the turn, the pot is 13bbs. When the turn checks through the pot is unchanged.
V pot bet on the river is 13bbs. V is all-in after making 3 bets: 2.5bb (preflop), 3.25bbs (flop), 13bbs (river). Total of V bets is 18.75bbs.
For blind level 1000/2000, 1 bb = 2000 chips. 18.75bbs = 37,500 chips.
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I would fold here. Profile is that this is an ABC player. When an ABC player tells me that he has a big hand, I should believe him. Ax could float the river. There’s a lot of 9x in V’s range that gets to the river. Would V play QQ (the strongest hand that we beat) this way? My answer is no and I’m folding.
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I believe you meant November 15 as the date of the session with Dara.
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John, I really appreciate the feedback. Last night’s session was another fun one. I really hope to see at next month’s early session.