eanderson85
Forum Replies Created
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The answer is easy if you ask “What do I beat?”
Is either one of them calling off with AJs? That’s the strongest hand you beat. -
Pot is 3,951 (~4000)
The bet is 1,976 (~2,000).
OSU has 19,597 in his stack (~20,000)If OSU wants to 3bet even as small as 2.5X to 5,000, that will make the pot with one caller 14,000 and he will have 15,000 behind.
If he wants to chase his draw for another card, he has a very awkward bet size.
Half pot will leave him 8,000 to bet into 28,000 all-in on the river, leaving his opponent pot odds to call with a 30% equity hand. That’s great the 35% of the time he hits his draw, not so good the other times he has 9 high.
If he is going to raise here he has to shove, maximize his fold equity, and realize his hand equity.If he min raises and gets shoved on, should he call 16,000 to win ~45,000???
If he calls, will he be all in by the river anyway with no chance of getting his opponent to fold? Best case scenario calling: call 2,000 flop leaving 18,000 behind, call 4,000-6,000 on turn leaving 12,000. Fold River with half of your stack 2/3rds of the time.
As a general rule, if you want to raise and have less than 10 times the bet in your stack, you should go all in. Chances are that you are getting it all in by the river anyway. Why throw away your fold equity?
It is still possible to win the pot right now.
When everyone folds you add 30% to your stack. That is a great outcome.The bet sizes just don’t work out on future streets unless you plan on folding in the future. If you’re going to do that, fold your open ender now and stop the bleeding.
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For quick quizzes I use DTO poker app. I haven’t bought the subscription because I haven’t aced the free version yet. Dominik Nitsche and his long-time student Markus Prinz did a bunch of PIO solves and wanted a way to quickly review them, and came up with watching a replayer, then studying PIO results. As a way to be more efficient they invented the DTO app that combines them.
I remember signing up for APT when Assassinato got his own character and playing for the night, but never playing again. Didn’t reel me in. -
A monotone board with connectors is the definition of a wet board.
– Similar to low boards – equities run close together
– 4th flush card changes board drastically
– Larger sizing appropriate to deny equity
– Some hands benefit from check
– Gives you bluffs on 4th flush card
– Generally check pure airballs
– Nut flush blocker is important -
I like the idea of doing both. If your regular buy in is $30, and the biggest shot you have taken is $400, then selling half of your action for $500 is still a huge opportunity while still practicing good bankroll management.
As far as studying, only you know where you feel the most uncomfortable. Usually that is where you need to focus. As far what I would study, is stack sizes.
What are going to do if everyone has 150BB and you win a huge pot and now have 250BB? Tighten up? Be a bully? Play the same? What you do is you play your 250BB game that you have already studied.
What if you lose a huge pot and now you have 50BB and everyone else has 150BB?
Punt? Tighten up? Gamble? The fact is that 50BB is still a very versatile and playable stack, and you just need to take a deep breath and switch to your 50BB stack game.
The difference in play is larger from 30BB to 50BB, which is larger than 100BB, which is larger than 200BB.
Winning a tournament without taking a huge beat is so rare that there is a name for it, Going rail to rail. You are going to have that huge double up. Be prepared not to punt it off celebrating. You going to have that huge kick in the balls. Get up and fight. Think about how you want to control the pot size when the girl in the Big Blind has double your stack. Then on the next orbit when she has half your stack. How do you play differently?
Like I said though. Only you know what you need to study. Someone could go through your hand history and tell you that you are too nitty or too loose, but you already know that. Take 3 days and study nothing but one topic. Focus and breathe. All of our Learning with Partners affiliates have tons of free info. If you can’t find an article for what you want to study from Jonathan Little, Sky Matuhashi, James Sweeney, or Alex Fitzgerald, you aren’t looking.
Be sure to prep for the tourney. Do what you can to mitigate interruptions. Turn off the TV. Don’t drink the night before. Get at least 8 hours of sleep. Have good snacks prepared that won’t give you a sugar or caffeine spike and then a crash. Eat a meal an athlete would eat before competition. No carbs, No sugar, lots of veggies, medium chain triglycerides, and protein, and lots of water.
Take a breath, play your game. These people took a poop this morning just like you did. They aren’t picking on you. They are playing their game. Play yours. -
If your stack is already meager, a study of Nash ranges is in order. Knowing what is a profitable shove is the first thing to know. If you have no fold equity, then you might want to tighten up 10% or so.
I would also trap. Pay attention to what makes them go nuts. Aggrotards love the smell of weakness. A lot of the time all it takes is checking the flop and you can check/shove or 3 bet the nuts on the Turn. -
Call.
If he has a flush already, you have 7 outs which wins 27.8% of the time.
You have to call 1689 to win (1689×2)+800= 1689/4178= 40% pot odds. So we don’t have direct odds to draw the nuts.
But what if he didn’t flop a flush, which happens only once every 119 times you have suited cards? Do we win 13% of the time without the nuts?
What beats us?
No three bet stat, so we’ll assume no limp/3bet range, although with a 4% RFI there could be one.
Flopped flush. 36 combos?
Well, sets all beat us. 3 combos of each. With 50/4 stats he could have all 9.
Two pairs? I doubt Q5 and Q3, Maybe 53s. 3 combos, maybe. 21 combos tops.
What do we beat?
Over pairs? Even the most passive open Aces and Kings. 0.
Top pair? 50/4 might limp AQ. Do they shove the flop? If they are sick of you they might. There are 114 combos of top pair in the GTO calling range. This is ignition, so they probably aren’t calling wide enough.
So far, we lose to 66 combos and beat over 100. Will he shove a draw? Ace 2? Ace 4? King, Jack, or Ten of spades? Every one helps us.
We win over 40% of the time easy.
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This is one my favorite parts of the site. I like getting multiple views on the same theme, and it’s cool to get the different vibes of different sites.
I like Michael Acevedo and Matt Affleck. Acevedo is the king of simplifying GTO, and I’ve never predicted one of Afflecks’ hands all the way through.
It would be nice in the future if you titled each episode instead of just a date. Which one was about 3 betting? Mindset? Can’t tell. Hard to go back and study, can only watch in order. When you get up to hundreds of episodes, this will be an issue. Maybe rotate between colors on Splitsuits’ periodic table for title ideas.
file:///C:/Users/mouse/Downloads/27732267-0-PeriodicTablePoster-%20(1).pdfIt would also be cool if there was a cookie that kept track of how many times I have watched an episode, or at least a checkbox. That way I can tell where I left off, or skip around and know what I have missed, and what subjects I’ve worked on the most.
Keep up the good work. There is a lot of content to wade through. Hope you have a variable speed replayer. It’s just gotta suck to have access to all the best training sites and be forced to use them all
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Cheers.
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Since website Mark isn’t busy (LOL), I have a site suggestion. As the site gets larger and larger, it gets more difficult to keep track of what I have studied. Say, one time I am studying 3bets, then the next time I am studying the Big Blind. There is a very good possibility that these two subjects will overlap.
It would be nice to have a cookie that keeps track of how many times I have visited a post, whether it is a webinar, quiz, video, etc. This could be a counter or a check mark in the corner somewhere non intrusive. Sometimes it takes 5 min of chit chat before you realize you have already watched something. It would also be good to have a tagging system to aid in study. Online/live, Location/site, Coaches involved, position, type of hands (pairs, suited connectors), stack sizes, actions taken (3bet,cbet), those sort of things. When you get up to 1000 training videos, this will become invaluable. If I want to look up that hand where you 3bet JJ at the MSPT last year, I can go right to it. What study sessions mention playing small Pairs? Or, if I just want to see which “Learning with Partners” I haven’t seen, or what chapter I am on with a book review, I can do that, too.
Piece of cake. I expect it by lunch, LOL.