Forum Replies Created
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eanderson85
MemberNovember 14, 2023 at 11:57 pm in reply to: Next Deep Dive Play and Learn: The Final Table🐭
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eanderson85
MemberNovember 12, 2023 at 3:15 pm in reply to: Nut Flush Draw on the Turn in a 3-Way Pot -
Voted on X, I didn’t notice anything different from when it was twitter~ <em style=”font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; color: var(–bb-body-text-color);”>panem et circenses.
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The only reason I have a X account is to vote in the Book Study!!
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My votes here. Gareth James and Tommy Angelo make the list also.
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😜
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The fun thing about being shorter stacked is that you can give your opponent the right pot odds to call, but still threaten their stack. Instead of betting a fraction of the pot, you can bet a fraction of their stack. Also, experimenting with Preflop opening sizes, 3bets, and especially check-raises can greatly affect effective SPR.
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If I may..
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eanderson85
MemberJuly 24, 2023 at 7:05 pm in reply to: Playing Session on Monday: Early Tournament StagesIm in!
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This isn’t the first time I have spent over an hour on a forum post and it gets messed up.
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Two things essential to understanding poker math IMO. Know the EV equation, and convert the pot into the appropriate fraction.
The EV= equation is the definition of GTO. It is how you find equilibrium.
EV= (%W$W) – (%L$L)
where:
EV= Expected value
%W = Equity of hand
$W = Amount won
%L = Per cent of time we lose
$L = Amount lost.To find equilibrium, we find the equity of our hand and then set EV to zero.
If we are facing a 1/2 pot bet and call with our Kings against their Aces,
EV= (%W$W) – (%L$L) -
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The interesting thing I find about bluff catching is when there are 2 to a draw on the board, you don’t want to block the draws, but when there are 3 to a draw on the board, you do.
So, you can bluff catch on the turn because you don’t block the draws, but when they complete, you need to block the draws to bluff catch the river (and you need to be sure that you only block the draws that are still in their range). -
Since the home game is the only occasion where I will play a tourney with one prize, I try to think in terms of a normal payout structure.
26.7
25
24.5 me
21
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I am officially the middle stack, meaning I should have the highest ICM pressure, but is the pressure higher or lower when stacks are so close?
There are 5 players, I am 3rd and have 21.3% of the chips.
The chip leader has 23.2% of the chips, and the small stack has 15.6%.
In a normal payout structure, is this closer to a chip EV situation, or should I be playing Queens plus? This is what I’ve found.
From what I see, I should be Raising First In about 3.5% more (All pairs, all aces), I should never call against a Hijack open (9.5% 3bet only ICM vs 17.5% shove/3bet/call CEV). Does this make my risk premium 3.5%? 8%? Somewhere in between (5.5%)?I don’t know how to check risk premium in HRC, and I am also not sure if I set it up correctly. I was wondering if someone could show me how and check my work.
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Since the home game is the only occasion where I will play a tourney with one prize, I try to think in terms of a normal payout structure.
26.7
25
24.5 me
21
18
I am officially the middle stack, meaning I should have the highest ICM pressure, but is the pressure higher or lower when stacks are so close?
There are 5 players, I am 3rd and have 21.3% of the chips.
The chip leader has 23.2% of the chips, and the small stack has 15.6%.
In a normal payout structure, is this closer to a chip EV situation, or should I be playing Queens plus? -
eanderson85
MemberMay 25, 2023 at 12:58 pm in reply to: $2 PKO tournament – any sense on flop call?It’s a jack high unconnected rainbow flop. They think you are range betting, and they are right. With the 4X preflop bet, maybe they think they have more Jacks? Who knows.
The stack to pot ratio is 2 on the flop. A better bet size would be about 35% to keep in his worse aces and get it in smoothly by the river. -
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Geometric bet sizing is a betting strategy in poker in which the bet size is the same on each street, such that the effective stack is all-in on the river. This strategy is also called the “geometric bet size” or “geometric growth of the pot” (GGOP).
The main advantage of geometric bet sizing is that it maximizes the amount of money your opponent puts into the pot and threatens your opponents’ stack with a simple betting strategy. If you know the geometric bet size to get all in by the river, you can adjust from this strategy to fit your opponent or situation. If you want a bigger river bet, just bet less than geometric.
To simplify your equation, you can just bet 1/4 of the effective stack on the turn, and the all-in will be twice the size of the turn bet.
I think of geometric bet sizing as similar to ranges. It is a base line that you can adjust to fit your opponent. The better your opponent, the more you want to stay consistent with your bet sizing as a percentage of the pot and have that jive with card run out. When opponents figure out you are using GGOP, they know they will be all in by the river, and tend to overfold on earlier streets, but when they do show down, they are strong.With range advantage we bet often, with nut advantage we bet large, and vice versa.
When the flop comes QsJsTh, that is flop that gives the aggressor both the range advantage and the nut advantage, and we want to get the money in as smoothly as possible. That is the best time to use geometric bet sizing. A 40% pot bet all-in on the river when you have the nuts is a better value situation than a pot-sized bet.
When the flop come 5s4s3d, the aggressor has neither the nut advantage nor the range advantage, so they should check most of the time, and when they do bet (with the nuts and draws to the nuts only) they should bet 1/4 pot or less. The plan on a flop like this is to get to showdown as cheaply as possible, because your opponent has all the straights and (if in the Big Blind) all the flushes in their range. Unless the SPR is very low on this flop, getting all-in by the river by betting this flop is a good way to value pown yourself. Of course, calling an all-in with the nuts is the most fun of all, so letting your opponent bluff is the strategy with value hands here.
Do you think having a pot-sized bet on the river maximizes the EV of your nut hands?
Or are you just trying to get them to fold to your bluffs?Per Michael Acevedo Table 90-91 page 321 of the Modern Theory of Poker: When stacks are deep, more streets are left to play and the better your opponent plays, the more range balance matters and the less raw equity matters. When stacks are short, all the money will usually go in pre flop or on the flop which makes raw equity the dominant factor. As stacks get deeper, play will occur across multiple streets which increases the need for constructing well balanced ranges.
Constructing sound post flop betting strategies is not an easy task.
Not only do you need to preserver your informational advantage on the flop, but across all future streets, too. Runout coverage is essential for both betting and checking ranges. If you don’t have the right runout coverage, even if your flop ranges are well constructed to make your opponent’s decision difficult on the flop, they could still exploit you on later streets.
Poker is a game of equity, how much you have and how to effectively realize it. Betting helps realize equity because it denies your opponent’s equity and it also helps set up the SPR in a way that can be beneficial to your equity realization.Range composition is always key to determine optimal betting strategies.
All the different actions you take convey information. Once you take an action, you can only hold hands that would be present in the range that takes that action.
One of the biggest mistakes I see rookies make is trying to represent a hand that they clearly can never have given the way the action has played out. this is why it is important not only to be able to hand read your opponents correctly, but also to be aware of your own ranges and make sure to keep them well balanced.
IF THE STORY YOUR OPPONENT IS TRYING TO TELL YOU DOESN’T MAKE SENSE, THEN IT PROBABLY ISN’T TRUE AND THEY DON’T HAVE IT.
Also watch the book study on the Modern Theory of Poker, Session 13, 38:19 and my Quizlet on Chapter 10 of the book @ <b style=”font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; color: var(–bb-body-text-color);”>eric_anderson517
○ The best bet size is the one that takes your opponents to a branch of the game tree with which they are unfamiliar, leading them to make the greatest number of mistakes<b style=”font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; color: var(–bb-body-text-color);”>
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eanderson85
MemberJuly 24, 2023 at 7:11 pm in reply to: Playing Session on Monday: Early Tournament Stagesblack spruce, every month Chris does a great seminar on a topic. Look under Learn/ Deep dives. This month we will play a game where Chris can see our hole cards and he can also control our stack sizes. This month is early stage (so deep stack) tournament play. He will pick some cool hands and share them with Dara O Kearney for some expert advice.