monkiesystem
Forum Replies Created
-
Rule of thumb: Nuts or near nuts, rip it in. Draws to the nuts, geosizing to get a pot sized jam on the river.
Kim, can we talk about this hand in your hand history session today?
-
One thing to think about here… A5s as a 4-bet is a bluff. In this case you’re trying to bluff two players out of the pot, including one who flatted a 3-bet OOP against 2 players with the action not closed yet. That might be JJ, AQs. Some do that with AK, TT as well. Not only that, but you’ll have to size the 4-bet significantly larger than usual to avoid pricing them in. This could mean investing one third of your 100b stack with A5.
-
The last time I won a seat in an MSPT milestone satellite, it got down to a final table four-handed. There were only two seats and the bubble payout left to be won. The stack depths were all single-digit. It was a lottery at that point. All the other seats that were on offer in this tournament were won by players who hit the 80k milestone.
That’s something to consider if you build a stack that’s close to the milestone in this format. It seems worth the small amount of extra risk to try to hit the milestone. A strategy of just surviving to the end could put you in the short handed short stack lottery, leaving you at the mercy of the deck.
-
First Four: Poker with Presence
Second Four: Elements of Poker
Third Four: Beyond GTO Poker
Fourth Four: Getting Started with Horse
-
The flop bet was fine.
I’m betting 3/4 stack on this Ace turn. On any turn card, really. We need to build a pot to maximize our chances of getting stacks in.
If BB doesn’t have anything he wants to invest with, we’re not extracting any more money from him. So we might as well bet.
The check-raise line might grab a bet from a bluff that would have folded had we c-bet the flop. But that’s it. We risk the BB checking back. We can kiss goodbye to getting stacks in when BB checks back.
Our priority is to maximize the chances of getting stacks in. We can’t do that OOP by checking, hoping for a stab. We absolutely MUST get three streets from this hand if the streets are there to be had.
-
A one-card under-full on a 2-pair high card board is at best a bluff catcher. Even though the river “improved” your hand to a full house, you had a bluff catcher.
Full houses are nothing to get excited about and married to on 2-pair and trips boards.
As ranges narrow down during a runout, trips become more and more likely and by the river you must account for them.
-
The MSPT milestones remove all of your chips from play if you hit the milestone of 80k.
It should cause a small change to strategy, as the target stack will decrease each time those chips are removed. The original target stack is 75k in this hybrid format.
You have to recalculate the target stack every time milestone chips are removed from play. Do they update the chip totals on the leader board when chips are removed?
-
Almost forgot to mention. You can actually practice note taking using a simulator like Advanced Poker Training. The bots are programmed to play like human players, so it’s a great environment for practicing taking notes as you would in a real game in a casino. We sell that here in Rec Poker.
-
I’m going to make a video sometime early 2024. What I do right now is the MTT simulator, final table, and heads up. I would highly recommend you, being a new member, go through Kenna James’ combat trainers. Go through all of the Beat the Pro challenges. If you get on a live final table fire up the chop tool, so you can negotiate from a position of having knowledge.
-
So, in my Sunday tournament in Chicago last week I called an open OOP w 98s and only about 15bb. My flop was T88. I check. He c-bet, I jam. He sat for 2 minutes pondering out loud that the only thing that takes my line is an 8. Then he made the call and showed down his AA.
Was he experiencing cognitive dissonance as he pondered the spot and decided to make the bad call? The two conflicting thoughts were, “he must have an 8,” and, “AA is too good to fold.” Maybe he rationalized the decision with, “If he has an 8 it validates my hand reading skills, and if he doesn’t, I’ll win and maybe made a sick read.”
I think this is a good example of how cognitive dissonance can lead us to make poor decisions. What do you think?
-
This is where HRC and solvers fall short eh? How do you node lock an “interested” range or a “disinterested” range? Flopzilla won’t tell you anything useful about how ICM affects this spot either. Since fold equity is so important and because you know you don’t have any, you don’t have many profitable combos to play with. I think you made the right, snug fold. Rule #1 in live reads is to play to those reads as if you believe them.
Long and short… good fold.
-
Do the bounties affect our decisions in these ICM spots?
-
How many of the 40bb stacks are yet to act preflop? We play tighter if big stacks can get into the pot with us.
-
Agree with @binkley . We need to know our stack size relative to the whole field. In addition to that, we need to know the stack sizes of the players left to act preflop. How are they playing? With that additional info we have everything we need to plug into Hold’em Resource Calculator.
-
When I got home from WSOP I took a break from poker for a couple of weeks. During that break I reflected on things that went well, and things I could have done better. If I weren’t also a salaried professional who had to return to my job, I probably wouldn’t have needed that long.
The break is a good time to focus on family and friends. Or on another non-poker hobby you might have. Read a good book. Continue to take care of your health, which might have fallen into neglect during WSOP.
Best of luck on your recovery journey!
-
Nice! Lately I’ve been looking for double backdoors including a bdfd, but have always restricted the bdfd to Ax. I may incorporate some other ones as well.
-
If we call this turn bet we’re going to be committed to this pot. So we’re calling with a plan to call a river jam or possibly reverse the action and lead jam the river. <div>
</div><div>If you think this opponent is bluffing at a frequency significantly above GTO strategy, then slow playing aces is fine. You’ll sometimes lose a sizeable pot when they outdraw you. But in the long run it’s a profitable strategy against this kind of player. You want to keep him in his overly wide range. </div><div>
</div><div>Reversing the action on the turn or river is very polarizing. Your overpair probably wasn’t close enough to the top of your range to do that, because of the kings on the board. The way people usually play when their opponent reverses the action, is that they’ll fold a lot of stuff they might otherwise continue with. You’re not getting called by worse hands or getting better ones to fold in this case.</div><div>
</div><div>I keep aggression factor on my HUD. Anything above about 4.5 puts me in call-down mode in spots like this, especially out of position. </div> -
Ugly spot. But this might be the type of spot we have to take to give us the best chance of running deep in tournaments. In spite of the fact you blocked flush draws, he still had many more combos of flushdraws than sets. Don’t forget the possibility of a flat call with aces. We can discount that 50%. It seems doubtful he would flat call your 3-bet with KK.
One thing I noticed in this WSOP is alot of players getting the stacks in on the light side. You weren’t at the WSOP, though.
One thing I’d say is your 3-bet sizing might have been too heavy. 2.7-3x would be preferable in position. His calling the 4x 3-bet indicates a very strong range, expecially from an EP player.
Range Trainer Pro makes this a call, using standard bet sizes preflop. In fact it calls with all the overpairs.
-
I use Google Keep on my smartphone to make my notes. I start the day with a new page of notes with a title. I enter a column of numbers 1 through 8 down the left side with a carriage return between each. This is where I keep my player notes. The number 1 is the player on my immediate left. 2 is the next player clockwise, and so on. If I see a showdown I try to note it for that player with relevant information, particularly if I disagree with what he did. If a player leaves I delete the notes for that seat, to make room for the next player who sits down.
If a particular player is a regular I try to get a name for them. If I don’t have their actual name I use the name of someone they remind me of or a comparison with something absurd. These notes on regs go into my after-action report (seen below).
Below my player notes I keep hand histories. I try to take down the hand history as soon as possible so I don’t forget details such as the suits of my hand and the board cards. I try get effective stack, seat positions, and the stage of the tournament.
I try to use mnemonics that make sense to me such as possible, instead of trying to type them out. If I don’t remember an exact card I use one that makes the hand similar to the one I just played. For example, I use “ep” instead of “early position.”
As soon as possible after the session or tournament is over, I compile an after-action report. In that I go over my hand histories and reg notes and retype them into another note page so they make sense. Have a separate page hand histories. Also have a separate page for reg notes.
I sometimes record intangibles such as how I felt that day into the page for the tournament or session I just played. Was I tired? Did I tilt? What kind of tilt? Did I get moved alot? Stuff like that.
Hope this helps.